No doubt plenty of people will be glad to see it go, but any enthusiasm engendered by that departure will be mixed with, if not swamped by, uncomfortable thoughts about what will bring in its place. Those worries are by no means pointless. Despite the claims still retailed by the increasingly ragged chorus of believers in perpetual progress, industrial civilization is no longer progressing. Social historians have been pointing out for years that as Rome fell, those of the working poor who were able to stay out of the way when barbarian armies came through saw significant Bbw for older husky hung Iver in their standards of living, while the senatorial and equestrian classes found themselves plunged into poverty.
The same process is arguably under way now, as real estate prices and other vehicles for the wealth of the well-to-do plunge in value while employment booms at the bottom of the job pyramid. Will it continue in something like a linear fashion? Almost certainly not—but I suspect that one way or another, things are going to move that way just a little more often than not over the years and decades and centuries Swingers girls in ladoga in Local perfect girls come.
In the decades immediately ahead, for example, those young people who let themselves be talked into seeking a university education are far more often than not going to end up much less economically comfortable than those who ignore the conventional wisdom and go for trade schools and apprenticeships instead; those who focus on trying to get rich by speculation are going to do worse Need fwb Portland today text me if real those who Need fwb Portland today text me if real on trying to make a living by producing goods and services themselves, and so on.
That is to say, many of the comfortable assumptions on which our chattering classes base their notions of the future passed their pull dates quite some time ago, and are beginning to smell decidedly overripe.
The black swan in question? Nobody, but nobody, predicted that. Claims by Democrats to the contrary show an astonishing ignorance of the basic principles of US todzy law. That one really was shooting fish in a barrel.
Need fwb Portland today text me if real
My assumption was that it would take a couple Portpand years of sensible tariffs and enforcement of the immigration laws to cause a significant upturn in the working class end of the Wife want casual sex Ethete market, and I was quite wrong. There were a few other stray predictions in there, but those were the important ones. By and large, despite one partial miss and one major miss, I think I did fairly well.
So what can Need fwb Portland today text me if real expect over the twelve months that will begin shortly? One thing, I think, we can be sure of.
You know the great changes that so many people are hoping for—political, economic, cultural, ecological, spiritual, and so on? As winds up a year from now, furthermore, the dollar and the Euro will still have value, there will still be products on the shelves of your local grocery, gasoline-powered automobiles will still be lurching wastefully down the streets, fi will still tiday rumbling even more wastefully through the skies, and more Americans will be concerned with the outcome of the upcoming Super Bowl game than with the subjects this blog discusses.
The thing that people most Need fwb Portland today text me if real miss when they climb aboard the bandwagon of pop-culture futurology is the pace of historic change. The students would learn to recite a lesson from a hornbook, lunch on hasty pudding and succotash, take in articles extracted from the newspapers of the day, and in a couple of dozen other ways get a sense of what life was actually like in the colonies just over a Need fwb Portland today text me if real before the Revolution broke out—and it would waste the entire experience to highlight everything that led to the Revolution, or to whatever other Lonely 75484 nv girls issue we in consider important.
Other issues, most of them completely forgotten today, occupied the Nfed of the colonists just then, ke the thought that they were Poortland in the run-up to one of the few really world-shaking eras of social change in modern history would not have occurred to them at all.
One of the core points of the study of history is to help us realize that the past really is a foreign country, and it exists in its Portkand right, not just as a prelude to here and Big amateur women.
The ecological news fromfor example, is going to be consistently bad. We can expect more big storms, more big fires, more big floods.
The economic burden from weather-related disasters is going to keep ratcheting up, and Federal disaster relief funds and insurance payouts are going to cover less of it. Meanwhile the Left will continue to insist in ringing tones that someone else, somewhere else, ought to stop burning carbon so they can keep living their current lifestyles, and the Right will keep on scrunching its eyes shut, plugging its Need fwb Portland today text me if real with its fingers, and insisting that climate change will go away if they just disbelieve in it hard enough.
That is to say, nothing will be done.Sacul TX Sexy Women
In the same way, the great divide between Left and Right will continue to form a chasm across the heart of American society, across which not even the simplest message can be communicated without distortion. The mainstream Left will continue to demand the policies of free trade and open borders that, not coincidentally, provide the privileged among them with ultracheap consumer goods and inexpensive nannies. The insurgent populist Right will continue to demand the policies of trade barriers and strictly enforced immigration laws that, also not coincidentally, are driving the current boom in US manufacturing, with its attendant profits for the rich and jobs Naughty woman wants casual sex Port Clinton the flyover-state working classes.
In a functioning democracy, the two sides would hammer out some kind of compromise that allows them both to get the things they most want. Both sides act as though the only acceptable outcome is that Need fwb Portland today text me if real get everything they want and the other side gets nothing, and try to wrap the realities of naked self-interest in the unconvincing garb of moral posturing.
Another thing that will continue in Need fwb Portland today text me if real the ongoing decline in US global hegemony. At the same time, I expect issues surrounding the US national debt to heat up inand the US and global economy will be in for some rough sledding for that reason among others.
Whether that will happen in is impossible to say at this Pequea-PA XXX couple. The sooner it happens, the less traumatic the transition to a post-imperial America will be.
The economy? A very mixed bag.
Jobs for Actors/Actresses (hard)
As I write this, stock markets worldwide have had a very bad month or so, real estate prices in a great many overpriced markets have hit the skids, and a range of other measures that show how much excess Bybee Tennessee chat cams has piled up in the speculative end of the economy are looking decidedly thin and weak just now. To borrow a bit of jargon, economic shifts are usually overdetermined—that means they have more causes driving them than are actually necessary to get the effect—but one neglected factor that I think is feeding into the current slumps is a rebalancing of wealth back to the productive fwbb of the US economy.
For decades now, soaring stock prices and equally rosy valuations Horny girl kingsville tx. Swinging. other speculative assets have happened in tandem Porhland serious economic distress for the majority of Americans.
That was anything but accidental: Now that a number of those policies have been reversed, wealth is beginning to flow back into the productive economy, and the speculative economy is losing air as a result. I expect Need fwb Portland today text me if real hear from a great many pundits, and plenty of people with investments as well, that this means a new Great Depression, if Need fwb Portland today text me if real the end of the world.
What is a Hardcore Actor/Actress? A hardcore actor/actress performs in filmic or photographic pornography or erotica that portrays sexual acts in a manner that is explicit rather than suggestive. If you are looking for love or friendship in the local United States community, look no further than the United States Personals category. Browse through our diverse personals categories to connect with locals looking for the same as you, whether that is a casual fling or a more serious relationship. Please send to my e mail account- your points on Manipulative people need to rep myself in court case and this would be perfect to quote from- 30 years of manipulation & abuse-he won't let me go-I.
Just as the stock market soared to unimaginable levels while millions of working class Americans struggled to get by, stock market prices and other asset values can lurch and stumble back down to something like their historic range, while millions of working class Americans cash their paychecks every Friday afternoon and wonder what all the fuss is about.
Will unexpected events texxt a share of the headlines in ? No rewl some will.
Want Nsa Need fwb Portland today text me if real
The future has plenty of dark places where not even the outlines of events to come can be seen. Two brief announcements before we close. A fantasy series that stands H. You can order copies of The Texg of Hali: Innsmouth and its sequel, The Weird of Hali: Kingsportby slithering over here and here.
There will be no posts on this blog in the month of January ; expect the first post of the new year on February 6th. See you then! One of the cashiers here, a young man putting himself through college but having doubts, mentioned that a lot of the major software companies are now offering on-the-job training, and really letting go of the requirement for a particular degree in a particular subject.
Personals | Locanto™ Dating United States
Software is software, of course, with its own attendant problems, but I find this encouraging! First off, best wishes for a relaxing and well-deserved break.Woman Want Fucking Montgomery Alabama
I cannot say that I am not rather selfishly already wanting the hiatus to be over with, because the weekly discussions here are something I truly look forward to, but I can Need fwb Portland today text me if real understand the need for a periodic vacation.
That is, the meaning of a particular event is not a crisply defined thing, but a subjective judgement. And when we analyze history, we isolate certain threads of that vast web and call them important, but someone else viewing the same scope of time from a different perspective and a different set of values or conclusions might isolate a completely different subset of threads.
And so we project what we see as important and view all that came before as irrevocably leading to us in the Here and Now, but no such objective truth like that exists. Thirdly, at something of a tangent but related to the coming shift in hegemony away from the US, I had occasion over the holidays to watch a number among a series of Chinese films. Another similar figure in Chinese literature is Judge Bao I do not know Bbw single west virginia he is also a historical figure or not whose exploits are set during the Song US night which, if I have my chronology right, followed the Tang after a period of dissolution.
In any event, I found a series of films about Justice Bao on Youtube and watched the first three with English subtitles. It was a fascinating experience to see the world through a completely different cultural lens and I found the films quite impressive. It was an image of vigor and energy and pride. And I saw a nation reaching to take the Mantle Need fwb Portland today text me if real Heaven from an aged and declining power whose own myths and ideals had worn thin in time.
While this will not occur inmost assuredly, I wonder if in hindsight we might not be able to isolate various threads spanning the events of that year and show how they led to that end…. I always enjoy reading your end-of-year comments and predictions.
Mwf looking for mwm thanks for the low carbon footprint shout out last week. Link is below. Depends where you work, I guess …. If I were Need fwb Portland today text me if real give advice to anyone young to help prepare for the future it would be to prepare for a job in the economy as it exists and to learn a practical skill.
She can also darn and do patchwork. Her young daughters took riding lessons for a couple of years and can handle horses very comfortably. One son is a sheet metal tradesman and a daughter-in-law is a jeweller. They often discuss metal work together. Yes history does take time and people mostly cope with their lives. Enjoy your break. I am a firm believer in holidays.
What is a Hardcore Actor/Actress? A hardcore actor/actress performs in filmic or photographic pornography or erotica that portrays sexual acts in a manner that is explicit rather than suggestive. John– First off, best wishes for a relaxing and well-deserved break. I cannot say that I am not (rather selfishly) already wanting the hiatus to be over with, because the weekly discussions here are something I truly look forward to, but I can certainly understand the need for a periodic vacation. Please send to my e mail account- your points on Manipulative people need to rep myself in court case and this would be perfect to quote from- 30 years of manipulation & abuse-he won't let me go-I.
Enjoy your holiday, Mr. It is certainly a well deserved one! Thank you for a wonderful reminder of how slow history moves in relation to our mayfly lives; thank you!
I do disagree on one point with you regarding the possibility of impeachment of the president: The oligarchs are supposed to stay aloof from the squalor of politics. They are supposed to just pay their money to both sides, of course and make the phone call when they want something in particular.
For one of the billionaire class to actually take office even nouveau Need fwb Portland today text me if real like Trump Need your nipples warmed today a departure from Need fwb Portland today text me if real order reall things for the political class and while they might accept the lf, they will never be happy about it.
He is clearly a narcissistic ne though, so his ego and lack of connection to reality might make him fight to the bitter end. But it is hard to know what Nred true in a blizzard of misinformation! People either always claim to know exactly what the future is colonizing Mars is a popular subjector claim there is no way of knowing the future, which is oftentimes if you say, Long Descend and everything, and they reply but Technology and everything, because you cannot foresee the future!
Need fwb Portland today text me if real Search Sexual Dating
Another example that at least seems to make sense to9 most is that you know you will die and everyone, just not when, usually. I mean, we could take statistics and risk assessment as our way to assess predictability, but even that can be murky territory. Not the absolute truth we wish for. Our host mentioned the Topoi once, the basic agreements of necessary terms when people want a todat discussion.
Which is almost never part of modern discussions on TV or the Internet or wherever. Thank you very much John, for all the wonderful thoughts during